Circa Sports×Najarian Sports

    Partnership Blueprint · Confidential

    Make Circa The Home Of Prediction Markets

    The sharpest book in America has never had a prediction market. Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings are racing for it right now. Circa plus Najarian Sports puts a regulated sportsbook, a full prediction exchange, a fantasy engine, and the Sharp Heat Seeker algorithm under one brand — in all 50 states and globally.

    $192B

    Combined TAM by 2030

    50

    States unlocked via event contracts

    20+ Yrs

    Trusted voices in options & sports

    24/7

    Global market coverage

    By The Numbers

    Engagement, Retention & Market Growth

    Modeled outcomes for Circa Sports x Najarian Sports across prediction markets, fantasy, and sharp alert distribution.

    0.0M

    Projected Y1 Users

    Cross-state prediction + fantasy

    0%

    90-Day Retention

    Alert-driven re-engagement

    0x

    Weekly Sessions / User

    Heat Seeker push cadence

    0%

    Prediction Volume Growth

    Year-over-year run rate

    0+

    Sharp Alerts / Day

    Unusual activity detections

    0+

    Addressable Markets

    All 50 states + global

    Projections based on comparable prediction-market and sportsbook cohort performance.

    The Window

    The Window Is Open Right Now

    The Land Grab Has Started

    Kalshi and Polymarket proved the demand. DraftKings and every major operator are building event-contract products. The brands that move in the next 12 months own the category — the rest rent it.

    Regulation Changed The Map

    Federally regulated event contracts reach jurisdictions state-by-state sports betting licenses never will. That is the fastest path from a regional book to a national and global platform.

    Circa Is The Credibility Edge

    Circa is known for the sharpest lines, highest limits, and a no-limit-ducking policy. In a market where everyone claims to be sharp, Circa already earned it.

    Sharp Reputation + National Reach = Category Ownership

    Circa moves first, or rents the category

    Turnkey Stack

    What Circa Gets On Day One

    Six production-grade modules, already built and running on Najarian Sports — rebranded to Circa, plugged into the Circa book.

    Core Product

    Prediction Markets Exchange

    CFTC-style event contracts on every league — yes/no markets, live pricing, and settlement rails built to sit next to the Circa book.

    $4.2M

    Heavy Hitter volume / 24h

    2.7K

    Prints scored daily

    369

    Reputation-scored wallets

    Fantasy League Suite

    Full season and DFS-style leagues: drafts, waivers, trades, scoring, commissioner tools. The stickiest retention product in sports.

    Sharp Heat Seeker Signals

    Our proprietary algorithm scores every Heavy Hitter print on Polymarket and Kalshi. Circa gets the sharpest tape in the industry, natively.

    Sportsbook Tie-In

    One wallet, one identity. Users move between the Circa book, prediction markets, and fantasy without ever leaving the brand.

    50-State + Global Footprint

    Event contracts reach jurisdictions traditional sports betting cannot. Circa goes from a handful of states to nationwide and international.

    Najarian Media Distribution

    Jon & Pete's daily shows, Rebel Sports, interviews, and celebrity picks pointing volume straight into Circa markets.

    Proprietary Algorithm

    Powered By Sharp Heat Seeker

    The same unusual-activity DNA Jon and Pete pioneered in options, rebuilt for prediction markets. Sharp Heat Seeker scans every Heavy Hitter–sized trade on Polymarket and Kalshi, scores the wallets behind them, and surfaces Unusual Prediction Activity (UPA) in real time — before the line moves.

    • Wallet reputation scoring across thousands of tracked traders
    • UPA detection on volume, velocity, and print-size anomalies
    • Real-time alerts by Telegram, push, and email
    • Signal widgets embeddable into Circa market pages
    • Historical replay and settled-accuracy tracking
    • Direct feed into the Circa trading desk

    $4.2M

    Heavy Hitter volume / 24h

    2.7K

    Prints scored daily

    369

    Reputation-scored wallets

    Sharp Bettors Welcome

    The only book that wants the sharp side — now with the tape to price it.

    Accretive to the existing book

    How This Makes The Circa Sportsbook Stronger

    This isn't a side bet away from the book — every module feeds it. Cheaper players, sharper lines, year-round retention, and a national funnel into the contests Circa already owns.

    Lower Cost Per Player

    Prediction markets and free-to-play fantasy are legal in all 50 states. Circa acquires nationally for pennies, then converts to the book the moment a player crosses into a licensed state.

    60–80% lower blended CAC

    Risk & Liquidity Offset

    The exchange gives Circa a two-sided venue to lay off lopsided exposure. Sharp money that used to blow out a Circa line becomes exchange volume Circa earns a fee on.

    Fee revenue on sharp flow

    Sharper Lines, Free

    Heat Seeker + UPA order-flow data feeds straight into the Circa trading desk. Real-time Heavy Hitter positioning across Kalshi and Polymarket becomes an in-house pricing signal.

    Live sharp-flow pricing edge

    Retention Between Bets

    Season-long fantasy, leaderboards, and Najarian Points give players a reason to open the app on a Tuesday in March — turning a seasonal bettor into a year-round customer.

    365-day engagement loop

    Circa Millions Funnel

    Free national contests feed qualifiers into Circa Survivor, Circa Millions, and Circa Sports Million. The most famous contests in Vegas finally get a nationwide top-of-funnel.

    Nationwide contest pipeline

    Media Without Media Spend

    Jon & Pete's CNBC-grade daily distribution, Rebel Sports, and celebrity picks push volume into Circa markets — owned distribution instead of rented ad inventory.

    Loyal, high-trust audience

    Loyalty

    The Circa Perks Ladder

    One account, one loyalty stack. Free national players climb into book members, book members climb into Circa Gold.

    All Players

    Tier 1
    • Free national prediction contests
    • Najarian Points on every pick
    • Daily Sharp Blitz + Rebel Sports
    • Jon & Pete pick alerts

    Circa Book Members

    Tier 2
    • Boosted NP multipliers on graded bets
    • Priority Heat Seeker Telegram alerts
    • Auto-entry into weekly Circa contests
    • Fantasy league buy-in credits

    Circa Gold / Heavy Hitters

    Tier 3
    • Full UPA feed + institutional API access
    • Circa Millions seat allocations
    • Live sessions with Jon & Pete
    • Vegas hospitality: Stadium Swim, D suites, watch parties
    Powered By Club One

    The One: Your Experience Card™ In All 50 States

    Club One is already the hottest loyalty card in Downtown Las Vegas — free to join, earning across Circa, the D and Golden Gate. Prediction markets extend that same card nationwide: every fan can earn and redeem Club One points whether or not their state has a sportsbook license.

    Circa Resort & CasinoThe D Las VegasGolden Gate+ Prediction Markets+ Fantasy

    Club One Today

    The One: Your Experience Card™ earns across Circa, the D and Golden Gate — but you have to be standing in Downtown Las Vegas to earn a single point.

    Club One Nationwide

    CFTC-regulated event contracts are legal in all 50 states. Prediction markets let a fan in any state earn Club One points without a licensed sportsbook.

    One Card, One Ledger

    Slots, video poker, tables, the book, prediction markets and fantasy all post to the same Club One account — the player never leaves the ecosystem to find action.

    The Retention Loop

    Earn · Burn · Come Back

    Step 1Earn

    Club One Points On Every Contract

    Prediction volume, fantasy entries, and Heat Seeker engagement mint Club One points on the same ledger as slot play, table play, and sportsbook handle.

    Step 2Burn

    Redeem Like A Floor Player

    Casino room rates, dining comps, show tickets, Millions and Survivor entries, merch, and market fee credits — redeemable from any state, no wager required.

    Step 3Convert

    Wheels Down. Bets Up.

    National members book the Downtown trip, hit the Club One desk, and land the $50 Match Play boarding-pass offer — turning out-of-state traders into on-property guests.

    Step 4Ascend

    Status Follows The Player

    Club One tier earned online carries onto the casino floor and into any newly licensed state on day one — a warm, ranked, already-carded audience.

    One Card, One Ledger

    Club One Tiers

    Status is earned nationally and honored on the floor at all three Downtown properties — and the moment a new state licenses, those carded players convert into book customers on day one.

    Club One National

    All 50 states · online
    • Free digital Club One card at signup
    • Points on every contract and fantasy entry
    • Sharp Heat Seeker weekly digest
    • Redeem for merch & market fee credits

    Club One Carded

    Online + three properties
    • One balance across Circa, the D & Golden Gate
    • Casino discount room rates & dining comps
    • Millions / Survivor entry redemptions
    • $50 Match Play boarding-pass offer

    Club One Elite

    Top of ladder
    • Real-time Heavy Hitter alerts
    • Highest limits when in a licensed state
    • Comped stays, events & tournament invites
    • Host-level service across all products

    The Voices

    Hosted By Jon & Pete Najarian

    Two NFL linebackers who conquered Wall Street. Every Circa market ships with a name, a face, and a track record behind it.

    Jon Najarian

    Jon Najarian

    Co-Founder, Market Rebellion · CNBC Contributor

    Ex-Chicago Bears linebacker turned floor trader. Pioneered unusual options activity detection — the same DNA behind Sharp Heat Seeker.

    Pete Najarian

    Pete Najarian

    Co-Founder, Market Rebellion · CNBC Fast Money

    Ex-Tampa Bay Buccaneer and Minnesota Viking. Daily Rebel Sports picks across MLB, NFL, UFL and beyond.

    Celebrity Market Makers

    High-profile traders whose prediction-market positions move volume the moment they post.

    Athlete Picks

    Current and former pros publishing verified picks inside Circa markets.

    Creator Leaderboards

    Influencer tipsters ranked on real, settled results — not screenshots.

    Competitive Position

    Why Circa Wins

    Nobody else has the book, the markets, the fantasy engine, and the sharp signals in one place.

    Swipe table to compare →

    CapabilityCirca + NajarianKalshiPolymarketDraftKings
    Regulated sportsbook
    Prediction markets / event contractsPartial
    Fantasy league engine
    Sharp flow detection (Heavy Hitter prints)
    Named expert picks & media hostsPartial
    All 50 statesPartial
    Global accessPartial
    Sharp-first pricing reputationPartialPartial

    Execution

    The Rollout

    Phase 1 · 0–90 days

    Pilot Markets Go Live

    • Circa-branded prediction market hub on NFL, NBA, and UFC
    • Sharp Heat Seeker signal widget embedded in market pages
    • Jon & Pete daily pick segment driving traffic to Circa markets
    Phase 2 · 3–9 months

    Fantasy + Sportsbook Fusion

    • Unified wallet across book, markets, and fantasy
    • Full fantasy league suite launched under Circa branding
    • UPA alerts delivered by Telegram, push, and email
    Phase 3 · 9–24 months

    National & Global Scale

    • Event-contract coverage across all 50 states
    • International entry where prediction contracts are permitted
    • Signals API licensed outward — Circa becomes a data authority
    Circa Sports×Najarian Sports

    The Sharpest Book In America Should Own The Sharpest Market

    Prediction markets, fantasy, Heavy Hitter signals, and the Najarian media machine — packaged for the Circa brand and ready to pilot inside 90 days.