×Najarian SportsPartnership Blueprint · Confidential
The sharpest book in America has never had a prediction market. Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings are racing for it right now. Circa plus Najarian Sports puts a regulated sportsbook, a full prediction exchange, a fantasy engine, and the Sharp Heat Seeker algorithm under one brand — in all 50 states and globally.
$192B
Combined TAM by 2030
50
States unlocked via event contracts
20+ Yrs
Trusted voices in options & sports
24/7
Global market coverage
By The Numbers
Modeled outcomes for Circa Sports x Najarian Sports across prediction markets, fantasy, and sharp alert distribution.
0.0M
Projected Y1 Users
Cross-state prediction + fantasy
0%
90-Day Retention
Alert-driven re-engagement
0x
Weekly Sessions / User
Heat Seeker push cadence
0%
Prediction Volume Growth
Year-over-year run rate
0+
Sharp Alerts / Day
Unusual activity detections
0+
Addressable Markets
All 50 states + global
Projections based on comparable prediction-market and sportsbook cohort performance.
The Window
Kalshi and Polymarket proved the demand. DraftKings and every major operator are building event-contract products. The brands that move in the next 12 months own the category — the rest rent it.
Federally regulated event contracts reach jurisdictions state-by-state sports betting licenses never will. That is the fastest path from a regional book to a national and global platform.
Circa is known for the sharpest lines, highest limits, and a no-limit-ducking policy. In a market where everyone claims to be sharp, Circa already earned it.
Sharp Reputation + National Reach = Category Ownership
Circa moves first, or rents the categoryTurnkey Stack
Six production-grade modules, already built and running on Najarian Sports — rebranded to Circa, plugged into the Circa book.
Core Product
CFTC-style event contracts on every league — yes/no markets, live pricing, and settlement rails built to sit next to the Circa book.
$4.2M
Heavy Hitter volume / 24h
2.7K
Prints scored daily
369
Reputation-scored wallets
Full season and DFS-style leagues: drafts, waivers, trades, scoring, commissioner tools. The stickiest retention product in sports.
Our proprietary algorithm scores every Heavy Hitter print on Polymarket and Kalshi. Circa gets the sharpest tape in the industry, natively.
One wallet, one identity. Users move between the Circa book, prediction markets, and fantasy without ever leaving the brand.
Event contracts reach jurisdictions traditional sports betting cannot. Circa goes from a handful of states to nationwide and international.
Jon & Pete's daily shows, Rebel Sports, interviews, and celebrity picks pointing volume straight into Circa markets.
Proprietary Algorithm
The same unusual-activity DNA Jon and Pete pioneered in options, rebuilt for prediction markets. Sharp Heat Seeker scans every Heavy Hitter–sized trade on Polymarket and Kalshi, scores the wallets behind them, and surfaces Unusual Prediction Activity (UPA) in real time — before the line moves.
$4.2M
Heavy Hitter volume / 24h
2.7K
Prints scored daily
369
Reputation-scored wallets
Sharp Bettors Welcome
The only book that wants the sharp side — now with the tape to price it.
This isn't a side bet away from the book — every module feeds it. Cheaper players, sharper lines, year-round retention, and a national funnel into the contests Circa already owns.
Prediction markets and free-to-play fantasy are legal in all 50 states. Circa acquires nationally for pennies, then converts to the book the moment a player crosses into a licensed state.
60–80% lower blended CAC
The exchange gives Circa a two-sided venue to lay off lopsided exposure. Sharp money that used to blow out a Circa line becomes exchange volume Circa earns a fee on.
Fee revenue on sharp flow
Heat Seeker + UPA order-flow data feeds straight into the Circa trading desk. Real-time Heavy Hitter positioning across Kalshi and Polymarket becomes an in-house pricing signal.
Live sharp-flow pricing edge
Season-long fantasy, leaderboards, and Najarian Points give players a reason to open the app on a Tuesday in March — turning a seasonal bettor into a year-round customer.
365-day engagement loop
Free national contests feed qualifiers into Circa Survivor, Circa Millions, and Circa Sports Million. The most famous contests in Vegas finally get a nationwide top-of-funnel.
Nationwide contest pipeline
Jon & Pete's CNBC-grade daily distribution, Rebel Sports, and celebrity picks push volume into Circa markets — owned distribution instead of rented ad inventory.
Loyal, high-trust audience
Loyalty
One account, one loyalty stack. Free national players climb into book members, book members climb into Circa Gold.
Club One is already the hottest loyalty card in Downtown Las Vegas — free to join, earning across Circa, the D and Golden Gate. Prediction markets extend that same card nationwide: every fan can earn and redeem Club One points whether or not their state has a sportsbook license.
The One: Your Experience Card™ earns across Circa, the D and Golden Gate — but you have to be standing in Downtown Las Vegas to earn a single point.
CFTC-regulated event contracts are legal in all 50 states. Prediction markets let a fan in any state earn Club One points without a licensed sportsbook.
Slots, video poker, tables, the book, prediction markets and fantasy all post to the same Club One account — the player never leaves the ecosystem to find action.
The Retention Loop
Prediction volume, fantasy entries, and Heat Seeker engagement mint Club One points on the same ledger as slot play, table play, and sportsbook handle.
Casino room rates, dining comps, show tickets, Millions and Survivor entries, merch, and market fee credits — redeemable from any state, no wager required.
National members book the Downtown trip, hit the Club One desk, and land the $50 Match Play boarding-pass offer — turning out-of-state traders into on-property guests.
Club One tier earned online carries onto the casino floor and into any newly licensed state on day one — a warm, ranked, already-carded audience.
One Card, One Ledger
Status is earned nationally and honored on the floor at all three Downtown properties — and the moment a new state licenses, those carded players convert into book customers on day one.
The Voices
Two NFL linebackers who conquered Wall Street. Every Circa market ships with a name, a face, and a track record behind it.

Co-Founder, Market Rebellion · CNBC Contributor
Ex-Chicago Bears linebacker turned floor trader. Pioneered unusual options activity detection — the same DNA behind Sharp Heat Seeker.

Co-Founder, Market Rebellion · CNBC Fast Money
Ex-Tampa Bay Buccaneer and Minnesota Viking. Daily Rebel Sports picks across MLB, NFL, UFL and beyond.
Celebrity Market Makers
High-profile traders whose prediction-market positions move volume the moment they post.
Athlete Picks
Current and former pros publishing verified picks inside Circa markets.
Creator Leaderboards
Influencer tipsters ranked on real, settled results — not screenshots.
Competitive Position
Nobody else has the book, the markets, the fantasy engine, and the sharp signals in one place.
Swipe table to compare →
| Capability | Circa + Najarian | Kalshi | Polymarket | DraftKings |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regulated sportsbook | ||||
| Prediction markets / event contracts | Partial | |||
| Fantasy league engine | ||||
| Sharp flow detection (Heavy Hitter prints) | ||||
| Named expert picks & media hosts | Partial | |||
| All 50 states | Partial | |||
| Global access | Partial | |||
| Sharp-first pricing reputation | Partial | Partial |
Execution
×Najarian SportsPrediction markets, fantasy, Heavy Hitter signals, and the Najarian media machine — packaged for the Circa brand and ready to pilot inside 90 days.
Jon & Pete • Sports × Markets
👋 Ask Jon & Pete anything about sports, picks, or strategy!